Sunday, April 19, 2020

SUCCESS QUOTES


The only way to get what you really want, is to know what you really want.
And the only way to know what you really want, is to know yourself.
And the only way to know yourself, is to be yourself.
And the only way to be yourself, is to listen to your heart.

In the long run, those who don’t eventually go WIITHIN often go WITHOUT.

·  The indispensable first step to getting the things you want out of life is this: Focus and decide on what you want.

·  When you state your intentions, you begin to discover all the things  standing in the way of making it happen. Be clear on what you want.

·  The more we focus on what we want, the closer we get to it. What we pay attention to grows closer to us.

·  Success is a byproduct of thousands of decisions. The little choices we make daily may seem trivial but they hold the greatest potential for our future. Try to make the right choices.  

·  It is not your action that makes things happen, it is your intent. You will know when you are ready when the next logical step is effortless.

·  The size of your success is determined by the size of your belief. Think big goals and win big success.

·  The greatest way to move to a new position in life is to outgrow your current position. Your focus will make your dream a reality.

·  Many people stand on the edge of defeat and turn and walk away not knowing that one step ahead meant victory.

·  Many of life’s failures are people who did not realize how close they were to success when they gave up. Keep believing in yourself and your abilities.

·   The temptation to quit will be greatest just before you are about to succeed.

·  Most people fail not because they lack the skills or aptitude to reach their goal, but because they simply did not believe that they could reach it.

·   The way you think determines the way you act, the way you act decides the kind of future that unfolds before you.

·  The mind does not have the ability to act above its present level of understanding. If you want to achieve more, you have to open your mind to learn more.

·  Take an interest in your future, that‘s where you will spend the rest of your life.

·  If you limit your choices only to what seems possible or reasonable, you disconnect yourself from what you truly want, and all that is left is compromise.

·  The directive to do anything needs to come from your heart or your gut, not your mind. When you follow that, you follow your divine path.

·  Life changes when you least expect it. Tomorrow is uncertain so seize the opportunities that you have been given and make the most of it.

·  Everything you want in life is just outside your comfort zone.

·  To get something you never had, you have to do something you never did. 

·  When God takes something from your grasp, he's not punishing you, but merely opening your hands to receive something better. 

·  Roadblocks are put in your path to force you onto a different path, a path that may be truer to your real purpose in life.

·  Procrastination is like waiting for a river to run dry before attempting to cross it. Do it now.

·  F.O.C.U.S.  -  Follow one course until successful



Let me know which one you like the best

Till the next time

Bruce

Friday, August 18, 2017

Why your Commercial Real Estate loans don`t get funded

Lenders see hundreds of loan financing requests each month and apart from a referral from a trusted source, the documents you submit for financing are the only basis they have for deciding whether they are interested in providing financing to you. With so many opportunities, most lenders simply focus on finding reasons to say no, because in the lending business, protection of their capital in the number one priority.

Any one or several of the reasons listed below may cause a lender to reject your loan application. Here are the most common reasons:

Value inflation
On many occasions, borrowers come to us and say they are buying a property for $X but it is appraised for $Y which is many times higher than the purchase price. We usually see this primarily with land development deals where the borrower wants to get a loan based on the appraised value which would allow them to purchase the land and finance the construction. They are essentially trying to get 100% financing. This is an indication that the borrowers do not have enough equity to purchase the property. Most lenders will only lend on the lessor of the purchase price or appraised value.

Wanting the lender to conform to your terms
This is one of the most common reasons why commercial loans don’t get funded. I cannot tell you how many “borrowers” come to us with their list of terms of what they are “willing to pay” to get a loan on their commercial property and they are just not willing to budge off their requirements. Let me tell you something, folks — the lender is the one that controls the terms, not the borrower. There are billions of dollars of private money being invested in commercial mortgages and lenders still control the deal flow. After all it’s their money. Remember the “Golden Rule.” He who has the gold makes the rules!

Not willing to pay lender fees
Let’s get this understood once and for all:  lenders charge fees. We get lots of prospective borrowers coming to us and stating up front, “I don’t pay up-front fees.” Great! We don’t charge up-front fees, either. However, someone must pay for the up-front expense of underwriting your loan.
In any given transaction, the Client will be responsible for paying the Legal Fees, Appraisal Fees, Feasibility and Marketing Report fees, Environmental report fees, Quantity surveyor fees, Land surveyor fees, Site visit costs and any other fees related to due diligence and background checks. Most lenders will require you to pay a lump sum amount into an escrow account and then the fees and expenses are billed to that account. At closing the borrower will get credit for the monies paid and they will get a full accounting for the monies spent. This is similar to how a law firm works when engaged to do legal work on behalf of a client. Lenders prefer to do things this way so that there are no delays in getting the loan funded. Some lenders may allow the borrower to pay the fees/costs directly to a third party for the expenses incurred however this may result in a longer time to get a loan funded.

Did you know that lenders underwrite hundreds of loans that never get to funding because the borrower has misrepresented some fundamental aspect of their deal? Lenders expect you, the borrower, to put down some money in advance of loan closing to show the seriousness of your intent to actually close the loan with them. They call this a ``commitment fee``. A lender will charge you 1-2 points up front to cover the cost of underwriting your loan. So, if you want to get funded, get with the program and quit telling lenders what you will and won’t do. The second reason why lenders require a commitment fee is so that you do not ``shop`` the loan around while they are working on arranging your financing. No lender wants to put in the effort working on your loan only to have you go and get the loan from somewhere else. It is a waste of everyone's time and effort.

Borrowers that insist on paying absolutely nothing until funding will never get funded, it takes money to borrow money. Liquidity or cash on hand is definitely going to be required, and varies widely from lender to lender. Be prepared to pay lender fees/costs of some form.

Too much debt / too highly leveraged (not enough equity)
Occasionally, we get a request from an experienced investor who is looking to either refinance an existing property or add another property to his or her portfolio. The challenge we see here is that they are often too highly leveraged. All of their existing properties have mortgages at the maximum loan to value and there is very little additional equity that might be available to provide back-up cash flow or additional collateral to the lender. Lenders see this as a risky position because if one property develops a problem, it could potentially cause the entire portfolio to be at risk.

Not enough liquid assets
In addition to the reason given above, some borrowers come to us and they have a substantial personal net worth, however they have very little liquid assets. In many cases, especially with experienced real estate investors, their net worth is made up primarily of real estate assets which is an illiquid asset. Therefore, if one of their properties has a major problem, such as the basement flooded and they have to replace the furnace, or the roof got damaged in a storm etc., how are they going to pay to fix it if they do not have enough liquid assets (cash, stocks, mutual funds, bonds) that they can use. Lenders see this as having a “weak” net worth. Your loan would get turned down on this basis, because the lender would consider it to be too risky.   
                     
Not being prepared with the right paperwork/ documentation
If you own a commercial property, you must keep separate books on each property you own. Period. End of conversation. We’ve seen a number of investors who hold property in their own name, don’t pay themselves to manage the property, don’t keep records of their tenant leases, don’t charge themselves rent if they personally occupy the property, and co-mingle funds with their personal accounts. When it comes to commercial loans, lenders want to see a clear and accurate history of the property’s performance. They need to know that the property alone can support the costs of servicing and repaying the debt. If you cannot provide historic profit and loss statements, rent rolls, details of capital improvements, as well as your own personal financial statements (excluding the property being refinanced), then you will likely not get funded.

Insufficient cash flow from the property
Another big mistake that commercial property owners make is overstating their income from the property and understating the true expenses. Lenders want to see that the property can support the amount of debt the borrower is seeking. Pretty simple. They do this by calculating the Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR). DSCR = Net Operating Income / Annual Debt Service. The two biggest mistakes we see here are i) not subtracting a vacancy allowance from the Gross Rental Income; and ii) not adding a property management fee when you manage the property yourself. Change these two numbers and you may discover that your property actually doesn’t cash flow to cover the amount of debt you are seeking.

Asking for too high a loan amount
Some borrowers have unrealistic expectations about how much debt they can put on a commercial property. Unlike residential property, where you can usually borrow 80% of the property value in first mortgage, commercial lenders will loan 65%-70% LTV (loan to value.) If you are buying a property, some commercial lenders allow the buyer to carry a 2nd mortgage on the property; however, they require the borrower to have at least 10% “skin in the game”. For most of the commercial property owners whose income is generated by leases to tenants, you are limited in the amount of money you can borrow. Asking for more than the maximum LTV will cause your loan to be denied.

Lack of experience with commercial property
We often get requests for loans from people who are beginning their career investing in commercial real estate. If you are inexperienced in commercial real estate, or are new to investing in a particular asset category, the best thing you can do is partner with someone experienced in managing this type of property. There are any number of problems in the day-to-day operations of your property and an experienced manager is your best insurance against fraud, lazy employees, costly expenses or missed income opportunities. Your loan would get turned down on this basis unless you had someone with good experience on your team.

Sales and Marketing strategy is not clear - No go-to-market strategy
For new construction projects, the borrower’s business plan fails to explain the sales, marketing, and distribution strategy. The key questions that must be answered are: who will buy it, why, who is your competition, what is the best price to sell it at, and most importantly, how fast will the sales occur (called absorption)?

For larger projects, a Feasibility study done by an independent third-party firm will be required in order to address these concerns. In many cases borrowers come to us after ``shopping`` their loan to many lenders without understanding that the reason why they keep getting denied a loan is because they do not have a proper Feasibility study which shows there is a demand and need for the type of project they want to build.  

You must explain how you have already generated customer interest and obtained pre-sales – and describe how you will leverage this experience through a cost-effective go-to-market strategy.

Exit strategy is not clear
Borrowers must be able to clearly show the lender how they will be repaid their loan. This could be from sale of the building on completion of construction, sale of the individual units, generation of sufficient rental income over several years to easily refinance the loan or pay it off in full etc. If you can’t demonstrate to the lender how they will be repaid their loan then you will not get the loan. 
Executive summary too long

Lenders are very busy, and do not have the time to read long business plans. They also favor borrowers who demonstrate the ability to convey the most important elements of a complex idea as simply as possible. An ideal executive summary is no more than 1-5 pages. An ideal business plan is 20-30 pages (and most lenders prefer the lower end of this range).

Remember, the primary purpose of a business plan for a loan request is to motivate the lender so that they want to fund your loan. It is not intended to describe every last detail. Document the details elsewhere: in your operating plan, marketing plan, feasibility study etc.

Too repetitive
All too often, a business plan covers the same points over and over. A well written plan should cover key points only twice: once, briefly, in the executive summary, and again, in greater detail, in the body of the plan.

Poorly organized and lack of specific details
Your presentation should flow in a nice, organized fashion. Each section should build logically on the previous section, without requiring the reader to know something that is presented later in the plan.
Too many executive summaries contain mainly ``marketing fluff`` of pictures and hype and with very little detail on what is important, which is: what are you going to do with the money you borrow, how you are going to make money to be able to repay the loan and what previous experience do you have with that type of investment.

Unrealistic financials and insufficient financial projections
Basic financial projections consist of three fundamental elements: Income Statements, Balance Sheets, and Cash Flow Statements. All of these must conform to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). 

Lenders generally expect to see five years of projections. Of course, nobody can see five years into the future but the lender primarily wants to see the thought process you employ to create long-term projections and if you used reasonable assumptions. An example of wrong assumptions would be running at 90% occupancy on a hotel every year or underestimating your food and beverage costs for a restaurant or factoring in unrealistically high annual rent increases for an apartment building.

“We have no competition”
No matter what you may think, you have competitors. Maybe not a direct competitor – in the sense of a company offering an identical product – but at least a substitute. Fingers are a substitute for a spoon. First class mail is a substitute for e-mail. A coronary bypass is a substitute for an angioplasty. Competitors, simply stated, consist of everybody pursuing the same customer dollars. To say that you have no competition is one of the fastest ways you can get your plan tossed – lenders will conclude that you do not have a full understanding of your market and you don’t know what you are doing.

Lack of understanding of the lending parameters
We facilitate loans primarily from private sources. Unlike banks that bundle their loans and sell them on Wall Street, these private lenders are portfolio lenders. Their first concern is the monthly loan payment. Does the property have sufficient cash flow to handle the monthly debt service? Their 2nd concern is the property’s ability to repay the debt principal over time. If you, the borrower, came to us and tried to sell the merits of the deal based on how great the property is, how terrific you are as a person, how much you’ve already invested, or how much interest you’re willing to pay, you’re not going to get anywhere. The lender is not very interested in these things. Know your lending (and borrowing) basics!

Asking the wrong person to get the loan for you
Probably the second biggest reason that we’ve seen perfectly good commercial loan request go south and never get funded is taking the deal to the wrong person. Generally, this person represents themselves as someone who can get you a commercial real estate loan. Ask them a key question, “Are you direct to the money?” We get a lot of intermediaries bringing us deals. Sometimes they have a second intermediary who brought them the deal. We charge a 1 to 2 percent fee, at closing, as our success fee. We are direct to lenders, these lenders charge 1 to 2 points (at closing) for their efforts in getting you the loan that you need. Some of these “brokers” will charge you 2 points for their efforts. Their intermediaries (the person you brought your deal to) charge you 2 points. Come on, folks, you do the math! By the time the deal gets to the actual person who can make the loan, it has gotten so expensive for you, the borrower, that you will never want to close on this loan. Similarly, don’t bring your loan request to your accountant, your attorney, your neighbour, your friend, or someone you heard about from some other source. Bring your loan to the people who can actually get it done for you!

Going to the wrong lending source.
The number one reason why, in our opinion, commercial real estate loans get denied is that they are not brought to sources that can actually fund them. Most often, if your deal has been turned down, it is likely that you brought it to a bank, credit union, or other mortgage lender, that a) doesn’t do commercial loans; b) doesn’t do your particular type of loan; or c) has no room in their current portfolio for your loan. Banks, etc. are regulated by FDIC, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, CMHC, CDIC etc. These oversight agencies regulate not only the rate and term that banks can offer you, but also the mix of loans they can hold on their balance sheet.

Here are some mismatches we’ve seen – stand-alone single tenant buildings e.g. restaurants or non-flagged hotels (too many in the lender’s portfolio); rural apartment building (not enough population density for major banks); depressed economic area (most banks not lending there.) Other reasons banks won’t lend to you no matter what - property underperforming-expenses are too high; need a discounted payoff; wrong asset category (e.g. no car washes or golf courses); Government tax lien issues; property taxes in arrears; vacancy rate too high. In other words, if your property isn’t “perfect” banks are more likely to turn you down.

Till the next time

Bruce


Northern Range Capital Corp can help you with your commercial property financing needs. We have a proprietary database of lenders that we have compiled over the years which allows us to easily find the best and most appropriate lender for your project. We can structure your loan request so that the lender sees the merit in your project and wants to have a more detailed review. Give us a call to discuss your project requirements.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

WHAT DO YOU BELIEVE?

What you think you create. What you feel you attract, and what you imagine you become.

 

The universe is governed by law. Success is governed by law. Your subconscious mind is also governed by law. Our personal beliefs define our choices, shape our lives and, collectively, determine our futures. Nothing is more important than belief. If you want to change the world, if you want to change your world, if you want to succeed at work, in the marketplace, or in any other social endeavor or organization, belief is your Holy Grail.

 

The law of life is the law of belief. Belief can be summed up briefly as a thought in your subconscious mind. As a person thinks, feels, and believes so is the condition of his or her mind, body and soul (circumstances). All of your experiences, events, conditions and acts are produced by your subconscious mind in reaction to your thoughts. Remember, it is not the thing believed in, but the belief in your own mind that brings about the result.

 

Many self-help books and motivational gurus talk about the power of belief. The general message they are trying to put across is basically what Napoleon Hill had said, "What your mind can conceive and believe, it can achieve". Is it true that everything your mind believes can be achieved or it is just some kind of motivational lie? Strictly speaking, the statement should be "what your conscious mind can conceive, and your subconscious mind believes, it can achieve".

 

Here is the reason why.

 

Your subconscious mind power is like a magnet. It attracts things that resonate with its beliefs. To put it bluntly, if you have a certain belief in your subconscious mind, your subconscious mind will vibrate based on this belief and attract events and people that resonate with or correspond to this belief. This is the Universal Law of Vibration and Attraction. It is a law that exists whether you believe it or not, just like the law of gravity. Let me repeat. This law works on you whether you believe it or not!

 

If your subconscious mind believes that life is tough, surely, your life will be tough. You will meet people and events that give you a hard life. If your subconscious mind believes that money is hard-earned, money will be hard earned. You will only be attracted to opportunities that will take a super-human effort to make a penny! Let me twist the words around and repeat the previous paragraph. If your life is tough now, that's because your subconscious believes that life is tough. If you are finding difficulties in making money, that's because your subconscious believes that money is hard to earn. There is no other reason and there is no need to blame other people for your tough life or your financial situation!

 

The message I'm trying to put across here is this:

 

"Your subconscious beliefs create your realities"

 

The above statement is probably the most important statement that one must fully and thoroughly understand in order to achieve true success in life.

 

We use our conscious mind power to conceive an idea, but our subconscious mind power to attract the result. Most people do it the other way around. They use their conscious mind to pursue the result, which often results in stress and worries. That's the difference between using your conscious mind power and your subconscious mind power.

 

What it means here is your reality or the life you are experiencing now is actually a reflection of the beliefs in your subconscious mind. Many people change from one job to another, but realize that they are still getting the same problem everywhere they go. What they don't understand is that instead of changing the external circumstances, they should change their inner beliefs.

 

Once their beliefs change, they will be attracted to new people, new jobs and the world around them will change according to the new beliefs in their subconscious mind. When participants of a workshop were told that their beliefs create their realities, a common negative response given was "I never believe in the kind of reality I'm facing, but why am I still experiencing them?"


You must understand that it is not what you think you believe that creates your reality. It is what your subconscious mind believes. You may think you believe that life is abundant, just because you've read some books about it. But subconsciously, you may not be convinced. So how do you know what your subconscious believes? The answer is fairly simple. Just look at your reality! Your reality is the mirror of your life. It reflects your inner beliefs.

 

Whatever order we issue to our subconscious mind, it promptly undertakes to carry it out. Whatever state of existence you declare yourself to be in, your subconscious mind assumes it exists and works within you accordingly. If a friend asks you: How do you feel today? And you reply: I am not well I have a headache or I don’t feel up to the mark at all today, you are unconsciously setting the subconscious mind to work to realize the state you declare yourself to be in. On the other hand if you say: I am well, happy and strong, the subconscious mind undertakes to realize that state.

 

Hence you can see what a wonderful power is within your control for your happiness or unhappiness, your condition of body and mind, and how necessary it is for you to use this power always in a positive direction. You are, in a word, what you think you are. This is not a theory, or a fad. It is a universal law.

 

Till the next time

 

Bruce

 

Believe in yourself! You’re divinely designed

 

And perfectly made for the work of mankind.

 

This truth you must cling to through danger and pain

 

The heights man has reached you can also attain.

 

Believe to the very last hour, for it’s true

 

That whatever you will you’ve been gifted to do.

 

Believe in yourself and step out unafraid

 

By misgivings and doubt be not easily swayed.

 

You’ve the right to succeed, the precision of skill

 

Which betokens the great, you can earn if you will!

 

The wisdom of ages is yours if you’ll read

 

But you’ve got to believe in yourself to succeed.   Anon



Thursday, September 8, 2016

Success

The foremost stumbling block to success in life is cowardice, the dreaded fear of failure “Nothing ventured, nothing gained”. Spectators never won a baseball game. If you are to win at anything in life, you must first be in the game, you must place yourself on the firing line.

History tells us that the doors of opportunity are always closed. They have been that way since the world began. At no time when you walk down a street will you find any doors of opportunity standing open and inviting you to come in. Doors that are worth entering are usually closed, but the resolute and courageous knock at those doors, and keep knocking persistently until they are opened.

Working hard and applying the principles of success can help you attain your goals, but much of success is by chance – being at the right place at the right time. In light of that, my advice is to give it all you've got and don’t let up, for you never know when opportunity will come knocking. Waiting for perfect conditions usually causes a person to get very little accomplished.

Achievement never comes to the uninspired. To the man or woman that has always "thought small" it is frightening to "think success" or to "think big". It is too easy to entertain doubts, procrastinate, delay or make excuses. Success is not a thing – not a reward that awaits you at some far off time. Success lies in doing well whatever thing you are doing now. It is more a matter of mental attitude than of mental or physical capacity. Every successful man or woman has had more failures than successes in life, but the winner concentrates on his or her strengths and successes while the loser in life dwells on his or her miscalculations and misfortunes.

You have all the fundamentals in you to succeed right now. But it is only the USE of them that can make you successful. It is the way you use what you have. You can succeed with what you have at this moment, if only you learn to use it correctly. Ask of yourself what ability you have which can be made to develop into something worth while. Great successes are simply a group of little successes built one upon another.

You have all that the greatest of men have had
Two eyes, two ears, two hands, two feet
Whether they were explorers or scientists or builders or speakers or motivators
They came here with no more or no less than you
The difference between the mighty and the mundane
Is what you do with what you have.

Why you are sometimes not successful

Did you know you can actually limit your life by dwelling on the wrong things? So often, wrong thinking keeps people stuck right where they are. If you think you’ll never accomplish your dreams, then your life will follow your thoughts. If you think you don’t have the talent, the connections or the money, then you are limiting yourself.  

Your failure to get results may be a consequence of mentally making statements as:

  • Things are getting worse
  • I will never get an answer
  • I see no way out
  • It is hopeless
  • I don’t know what to do
  • I am all mixed up
When you use such statements, you get no response or co-operation from your subconscious mind (the universe).

You must remember that whenever your subconscious mind accepts any idea, it immediately begins to execute it. It uses all its mighty resources to that end. It mobilizes all the mental and spiritual laws of your deeper mind. This law is true for good thoughts, but it holds true for bad thoughts as well. Consequently, if you use your subconscious mind negatively, it brings trouble, failure and confusion. When you use it constructively, it brings guidance, freedom, and peace of mind.

Our words have creative power. Whenever we speak something out, either good or bad, we are giving life to what we are saying. Too many people go around saying negative things about themselves, their family, and their future. Things like, “I’ll never be successful", "This sickness is going to get the best of me",  "Business is so slow I don’t think I’m going to make it", "Flu season is coming. I’ll probably get it.” They don’t realize they are prophesying their future.

The Bible says, “...we will eat the fruit of our words.” That means we’re going to get exactly what we have been saying.
Here is the key: you've got to send your words out in the direction you want your life to go. You cannot talk defeat and expect to have victory. You can’t talk lack and expect to have abundance. You will produce what you've been saying. With your words you can either bless or curse your future. Make sure your words are what you want your future to be so that you can move forward in a life of success.

Till the next time.



Bruce

P.S. Inaction breeds doubt and fear. Action breeds confidence and courage. If you want to conquer fear, do not sit home and think about it. Go out and get busy. - Dale Carnegie










Sunday, October 12, 2014

Does "Cash Drag" Affect Value Averaging Investment Returns?

I would like to announce the release of an investment paper "Does "Cash Drag" Affect Value Averaging Investment Returns?"

The purpose of this paper is to address one of the common comments about Value Averaging (VA) which is that "VA requires you have a large side fund and the cash in the side fund causes a drag on the rate of returns a.k.a. “cash drag”". The argument is that the “cash drag” negates any benefit of higher returns when compared to Dollar Cost Averaging and Lump-sum investments.   

This paper will show that cash is actually a benefit to the portfolio depending on how an investor manages the cash.  

We will also show that cash does not create a drag on returns as most investors claim, in fact it improves the returns especially over an intermediate time period of 5 years.

A copy of the report can be downloaded at:

www.vainvestmentsoftware.com

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

How to achieve a 50% rate of return in 3 years

In my previous career as a financial advisor and developer of financial planning software, I spent over 15 years devising financial plans and advising clients on how to maximize the return on their investment while trying to minimize their taxes and any risks.   

The following simple strategy will demonstrate how an investor could achieve a return of 50% in 3 years without taking on any additional risk.

To implement this strategy we are going to use a Tax Free Savings Account (TFSA), an RRSP account and a Syndicate Mortgage.

To begin the investor would invest $25,000 into a Syndicate Mortgage project using a TFSA. Everyone is currently allowed to contribute up to $25,500 into their TFSA if they have not yet done so. The Syndicate Mortgage in this example pays an 8% fixed return over the term of 3 years, which works out to a total return 24%. In addition, at the end of the term if the project were to meet a projected profit target then an additional 12% deferred lender fee would be paid to the investor. This would bring the total return over 3 years to 36%. (24% + 12%)

 At an 8% return the Syndicate Mortgage would pay $2,000 per year in interest into the TFSA. This income is tax free to the investor and therefore each year, the investor would withdraw the $2,000 and invest it into an RRSP account (assuming that RRSP contribution room was available). If the investor was in a 40% tax bracket, he would save $800 per year in taxes or $2,400 for the 3 year term of the investment.    

Finally, at the end of the mortgage term, if the Developer achieves the profit target for the project and the additional 12% bonus interest is paid the investor would receive an additional $3,000. To maximize the investment return the investor would also withdraw these funds from the TFSA and invest it into the RRSP account. This would then produce a tax saving of $1,200. 

So let’s add it all up.

Interest income                      $ 6,000
Deferred lender fee               $ 3,000
Tax savings                            $ 3,600
Total                                       $12,600

This translates into a 50% return on your investment ($12,600 / $25,000)

Since investors in a Syndicate mortgage are registered on title and the mortgage is secured against the property an investor would not have taken any additional risk to increase their returns from 24% to 50%.

In addition, when the capital is invested into the RRSP account the investor can then reinvest the capital into another investment which would boost the overall returns even higher.

To see the calculations in detail click here or if you would like to find out how you can implement this strategy please contact me to discuss. 

Thursday, January 24, 2013

VA Portfolio Update

I have just updated the Value Averaging Model Portfolio's.

There are 5 Model Portfolios to follow:

VA Growth Strategy
VA Internet Strategy
VA Market Sectors Strategy
VA Market Index Strategy
VA Small Cap Strategy

The portfolio's are all performing very well exactly as I expected, and they are meeting their annual target rate of return. 

The Internet Strategy model has performed the best out of all the models and since December 2011 has produced a annualized compound rate of return of 25.4%Click here to see the performance in real time.

While most mutual funds managers or portfolio managers are paid to try to beat a benchmark index, we take a different approach in that we try to meet or exceed a set target rate of return consistently on an annual basis. The benchmark for the model is therefore not an index such as the S&P 500 but a fixed percentage return. This return is based on the historical long term return for that specific asset class plus inflation. For example, for Small Cap stocks it is 12% and for Technology Stocks it is 15%. If an index is beating the fund, we really don't care because eventually the index will regress to it's long term historical average.


I have added a recently published research study to the Valueaveraging.ca website called Performance Comparison between Dollar Cost Averaging and Value Averaging Investment Strategies and the Impacts of Investment Horizon and Target Terminal Wealth.  According to the findings, with increased length of investment horizon and/or lowered target terminal wealth, the Value Averaging (VA) investment strategy will have better performance than the Dollar Cost Averaging investment strategy.

If you have a specific stock/ETF that you would like to see how it would have performed using VA over a 5 year time frame, just send me an email request with the symbol and I will run the analysis and send you a report.

Monday, October 8, 2012

Caribbean Real Estate Opportunities Abound


In the past year and a half I have been traveling in the Caribbean looking at and evaluating real estate projects to invest in, and I must say that the opportunities for savvy investors are endless.

My trips have taken me to Cayman Islands, Bahamas, Jamaica, Anguilla, Dominica, Antigua, Barbuda and St. Lucia. I also plan to visit St Croix, St. Kitts and Nevis, Grenada, Barbados and Trinidad in the next few months.

I have looked at all types of properties and development projects comprising of marinas, hotels and resorts, golf courses and residential subdivisions that range from $2M to $1B in value. However, I believe that the current sweet spot for investments are in the $5M to $15M range.

There are a number of reasons why the Caribbean is an attractive place to invest, and these are:

  1. Properties hold their value much better than properties in other parts of the world such as US and Europe. Most of the islands are small (with the exception of Jamaica, Trinidad, Cuba and Dominican Republic) therefore there is only a finite amount of good land available for development
2.  No threats of terrorism. Everybody knows everybody, therefore where is a terrorist going to hide.

3. Stable democratically elected governments. Most islands operate under British common law.

4.  Larger international real estate companies have ignored the smaller investments and projects, preferring to focus on “brand name” investments in the $100M plus range.

5.  Many financial institutions prefer to finance projects that are $10M or even $20M and above. Most projects under $10M are struggling to get financed. Lenders that can offer creative financing solutions that include both debt and equity financing for these smaller projects can make a lot of money.

  1. There are many projects that have stalled because the financial institutions that were once heavily lending in the Caribbean have either gone bankrupt (Lehman Brothers, Icelandic Bank, Clico Investment Bank etc), changed their lending criteria, or they no longer have access to their funding sources that they once had. There are many half built projects that still have purchaser deposits on their books. With much of the initial risk in the deal (permiting, zoning, pre-sales etc) already absorbed and with the property in financial distress, there exists an opportunity to acquire substantial equity at a discount. 
  1. Occupancy levels are down and many hotels and resorts are just breaking even or losing money.  There are numerous reasons for this and some of the reasons are as follows: 
·        Too much debt
·        No marketing budget
·        No websites or poorly designed websites
·       High utility costs and not making use of solar power and/or solar hot water heaters to reduce costs

In many cases some of the properties I have looked at simply need to be recapitalized in order to upgrade to solar power to cut utility costs, refurbish the property, redesign their websites and focus on marketing themselves and local activities properly.

Let me give you an example. I am currently working on acquiring a property that has the following negative features:

Currently in foreclosure and owned by a bank
Some of the rooms need upgrading
Property needs to be completely painted and landscaped
Lousy website
No marketing budget
Low occupancy levels – due to some of the above

Now here are the positive things and why I like this deal:

30 acres of prime beach front land
A fully operating hotel with restaurant facilities
30 fully serviced and approved residential building lots
479 time share owners who are paying annual maintenance fees
$13M of unsold time share inventory
Very good visitor reviews on Trip Advisor
Easy access to North America

Now here is the best part:

It can be acquired, refurbished and recapitalized, which would allow it to restart the time share program, upgrade the website and initiate a proper sales and marketing program for approximately $5.5M

The projected potential profit in 5 years on the whole project would be $12M which would then allow us to have a debt free, sustainable and profitable hotel resort operation.

This is only one example of several that I have like this.

So while others may only see difficulties and the negative side of things, I see opportunity.  I see the opportunity to acquire assets / equity at substantial discount to market value and build a substantial Caribbean real estate portfolio of boutique hotels, luxury rental villas and commercial projects that could have sustainable recurring revenue based on fractional and/or timeshare ownership.

I also see the opportunity to create long term employment and to support the communities that we invest in, and thereby create a win - win environment for everyone involved.

If anyone is interested in partnering with me to take advantage of the Caribbean opportunities at hand please feel free to contact me directly.


Visit my website to see more of the Caribbean projects I am working on.


P.S.  Follow me on Twitter: @BruceRamsey1








 

Friday, July 13, 2012

Value Averaging Model Portfolio's

Everyone knows how volatile the stock market has been and how uncertain the world's economies have been over the last few years. The majority of investors have made little or no money from stocks or mutual funds for a very long time. This could be because the average investor does not have a trading strategy for making money from stocks, and therefore tends to “buy and hold” then sell at a loss. However, sometimes a bad year is a bad year no matter what investment strategy you use. 

For the past 12 months we have been working on testing and fine tuning a stock investing methodology based on the Value Averaging investment strategy and we are now pleased to announce the VA Model PortfoliosManaging the portfolio‘s over the past months has allowed us to fine tune the methodology to the point where we believe that is it a viable system for trading securities.

We have created these models as a way to show / teach investors how Value Averaging works and how to apply the strategy over time. The first model is called the VA Growth Strategy and it is intended to demonstrate that Value Averaging works across broad market sectors and is particularly valuable during times of high volatility. The second model is called the VA Internet Strategy and it applies the Value Averaging methodology to the largest companies primarily engaged in the internet industry. The model is designed for investors seeking aggressive capital growth with significant volatility. Over time we will add additional model portfolios.

We use ETF’s and Index Funds with a few select stocks for the portfolios.  Using Index Funds or ETF’s is a great way to achieve very good investment results because it sidesteps flawed decision making and psychological traps. The S&P 500 beats 80% of managed funds in long term returns. Therefore the investment vehicle you choose is far more important to your investments performance than the mechanical rules you follow to invest in it. 

Simple versus Complex

The majority of investors tend to prefer the complex and artificial as opposed to the simple and unadorned. Too many investors believe that stock market investing requires sophisticated strategies, the juggling of dozens of variables and complicated portfolio management. Nothing could be further from the truth. Value Averaging is simple to understand and easy to implement, requiring less than 30 minutes a month to execute.

Warren Buffet states that, to be a successful investor does not require one to have a high IQ but rather it requires two things: 1. A strong intellectual framework on which to base your decisions and 2. Not letting your emotions corrode the framework.

When making decisions, humans tend to view everything in the present tense. We time-weight information meaning that the newest thing always carries the greatest importance. Think of the last time you really screwed up. When the mistake was made you had to contend with emotion. The mistake becomes obvious when, drained of emotion and feeling, you take a historical perspective.

Value Averaging removes the emotion from investing, all you have to do is follow the easy to understand formula based system. No rocket science involved.


Monthly Trades

Each month we will trade a $1,000,000 virtual portfolio and produce a report showing the trades done and how the portfolio has performed. We will use the services of Marketocracy.com to manage the portfolio. Marketocracy provides access to exclusive tools to build investment skills and gauge success using virtual money while adhering to very real federal compliance rules and marketplace trading constraints. Each portfolio is allocated with a virtual $1 million – enough buying power to make lots of trades and to put together a diversified model portfolio. In addition, portfolios are monitored for compliance with S.E.C. rules for mutual fund managers so we can see how they respond when they are out of compliance. All portfolios are carefully monitored and every trade tracked for investment performance.

If anyone is interested in partnering with us to create a portfolio management business around the VA strategy please contact me to discuss further. 


To see the reports and the model portfolios please visit:  


http://www.vainvestmentsoftware.com/model_portfolios.html

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